East Carolina vs Maryland 12/29/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with East Carolina winning 44% of simulations, and Maryland 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. East Carolina commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. Maryland wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dominique Davis is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Danny O'Brien is averaging 284 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MD -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 69

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